Law Students

Clinton Winning Until She Loses

Posted on March 20, 2008
My post here indicated that Clinton is picking up momentum.But it's not clear what that gets her unless she can put a huge dent in Obama's pledged-delegate lead.I think she needs to get within 50 PD's to claim that the race has been a tie, and that the superdelegates are free to vote either way...

Ok, You're Being *Too* Modest Now

Posted on March 20, 2008
Hillary is pouncing on this Obama statement:In some ways this, this controversy has actually shaken me up a little bit and gotten me back into remembering that the odds of me getting elected have always been lower than some of the other conventional candidates...

Clinton's New Momentum

Posted on March 19, 2008
Yesterday I predicted Obama's race speech would change the momentum in his favor and catapult him toward the nomination. So far I'm wrong.For the first time in two months, Democrats who had concluded that Barack Obama had sewn up the nomination, Democrats who support Barack Obama, Democrats who had concluded, as I had, that the mathematics work against Hillary Clinton, are filling my inbox and voice mail with versions of the same question: is his campaign in serious trouble?Clinton just picked up two superdelegates...

DMX, on the 2008 Democratic Primary

Posted on March 19, 2008
DMX, a felon who can't vote, is somewhat in disbelief that there's a candidate running named Barack Obama.What the fuck, man?! Is he serious? That ain?t his fuckin? name. Ima tell this [nice gentleman] when I see him, ?Stop that bullshit. Stop that bullshit? ?That ain?t your fuckin? name...

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McCain Opens Bigger Lead on Obama

Posted on March 19, 2008
Zogby has:McCain: 46Obama: 40McCain: 48Clinton: 40Where's the slippage for Obama, who last month led McCain? Independents.The poll showed Obama continues to have strong support from the African-American community but that he is experiencing some slippage among moderates and independents...

Obama is a Good Politician

Posted on March 18, 2008
In the last few days, the feeling has been palpable. Barack Obama, leading in pledged delegates, has been losing electoral momentum. He won Mississippi last Tuesday. Since then, his campaign has been battered by Rezko revelations and of course the *scandal* regarding Jeremiah Wright...

New York Governor Admits to Cheating On Wife

Posted on March 18, 2008
That was fast. The new Governor of New York, David Paterson, admitted today that he had a relationship with another woman that lasted for years, and ended only in 2001.In the course of several interviews in the past few days, Paterson said he maintained a relationship for two or three years with "a woman other than my wife," beginning in 1999...

Hoosier State Primary

Posted on March 17, 2008
Looking past Pennsylvania, the candidates are going to need to know how to pander to Indianans if they plan to score a big delegate prize from the state.The primary is on May 6 (the same day as North Carolina), so it could balance out an Obama smackdown -- in delegates and momentum -- if he beats her badly in NC...

Obama-Wright Part 5: The Church Strikes Back, Poorly

Posted on March 16, 2008
Despite clearly employing a pastor who lied on the pulpit and made the church ineligible for tax-exemption status, the Trinity Church of Christ has come to the defense of Jeremiah Wright:Nearly three weeks before the 40th commemorative anniversary of the murder of Reverend Dr...

Obama-Wright Part 4: Goodbye IRS Tax Exemption for Trinity

Posted on March 15, 2008
Churches who claim a tax exemption under 501(c)(3) must refrain from "political advocacy."I'm pretty sure this means Trinity Church is not eligible for tax exemption this year."Hillary was not a black boy raised in a single-parent home. Barack was."Another Obama as Jesus comparison...

Obama-Wright Part 3: Wright was a Political Advisor

Posted on March 15, 2008
Barack Obama claims that his pastor, Jeremiah Wright, was not a political advisor. Merely a spiritual one. Most importantly, Rev. Wright preached the gospel of Jesus, a gospel on which I base my life. In other words, he has never been my political advisor; he's been my pastor...

DailyKos Alienates Clinton Supporters

Posted on March 15, 2008
The Daily Kos is a terrible website. Aside from functioning as an echo chamber for the far left, it is vehement in its demand that its members think alike.Rarely is there a disagreement on the site that doesn't involve who is farther left of whom.And yet I read the site frequently...

Obama-Wright Part 2: Obama Knew About Wright's Comments In Feb. 2007

Posted on March 15, 2008
Most of America just learned about Jeremiah Wright's controversial comments in the last week or so. Though I'd known about his trip to Libya with Louis Farrakhan, I hadn't seen any video or transcript of of Wright's sermons.But Obama had.When these statements first came to my attention, it was at the beginning of my presidential campaign...

Obama-Wright Part 1: Obama Doesn't Go to Church

Posted on March 15, 2008
As most everyone knows by now, Barack Obama's former minister, Jeremiah Wright, asked God to "damn America," claimed that the CIA invented the HIV virus, and that Obama is representative of blacks because he isn't privileged.I think the last two statements are clearly false...

Last Time I get Hookers with Spitzer.....

Posted on March 10, 2008
Seriously:First Elliot, my main man, cracks down on 40s and splifs and now this:Gov. Eliot Spitzer has informed his most senior administration officials that he had been involved in a prostitution ring, an administration official said this morning.Nathaniel Brooks for The New York TimesGovernor Eliot Spitzer at a news conference in July 2007...

Dancing with the Stars, Season 7?

Posted on March 07, 2008
Maybe I'll just post to this blog when something happens in the world of Presidential dance.First it was the strip-tease in Liberia, and now it's tap-dancing at the White House. When a carefully choreographed meeting between Bush and McCain hit a snag on Wednesday (i...

The Cult of Obama: Drink the Cool-Aid

Posted on March 07, 2008
This blog has previously broached the topic of the growing Church of Barack, Obamania, etc. etc. But once again Youtube/Google, despite its frequent cave-ins to autocrats like Pakistan and China, is still the best place for interactive commentary. This video, succinctly and wittily, makes the point the media's been missing the whole election cycle--Obama has the aura of a cult leader about him...

In An Alternate Universe

Posted on March 07, 2008
The Democratic primary system is so messed up. As this article points out, the system:1. Gives disproportional delegates to Dem primaries in red states2. Gives disproportional delegates to small states3. Overemphasizes the weight of caucus voters as opposed to primary voters4...

Will Axelrod Be Fired?

Posted on March 06, 2008
In December, 2007, Senator Obama made crystal clear that he would not tolerate opposition research seeking to tear down the other Democratic contenders for the nomination.?I have been very clear to my campaign. I do not want to see research that is involved in trying to tear people down personally,? Mr...

My Prediction: Florida and Michigan Will Revote

Posted on March 06, 2008
Hillary wants big states and big delegate counts. But Florida and Michigan are not going to come easily for her.Hillary's options:1. Press for a revote in Florida and Michigan. (And backtrack on everything you've said so far about not disenfranchising people by not counting their initial votes)2...

Great American Idol Performance

Posted on March 06, 2008
Lionel Richie's "Hello" as an emo rock song. Good job dude. Still, he's no Josiah Leming.Paula is so tanked.

Obama's Reckless Surrogates

Posted on March 06, 2008
This is what happens when you're a political novice -- you surround yourself with other political novices.David Plouffe says Hillary can't beat John McCain in November.Austan Goolsbee says Obama is all bluster on NAFTA.Susan Powers says Hillary is a "monster" to a foreign paper:"She is a monster, too ? that is off the record ? she is stooping to anything," Ms Power said, hastily trying to withdraw her remark...

Pennsylvania is the New Iowa

Posted on March 05, 2008
What's the ultimate result of last night? Everything old is new again:Senator Clinton surprises even herself by winning Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island after 12 straight losses. Senator Obama had spent heavily to try to finish her off: He now faces seven weeks of scrutiny and trench warfare...

Jack Nicholson's Hillary Video

Posted on March 05, 2008
This is a few days old, but kind of clever.Except notice that a lot of the characters Nicholson is talking through are villains. Does Hillary want the Joker's endorsement? What about the guy who ordered the code red from A Few Good Men?Seems like risky endorsements to tout.

Are There 50 Secret SDs?

Posted on March 05, 2008
JS mentioned this rumor yesterday.Some people give the rumor legs.Others (from the Obama camp, actually) say it's wrong.I'm tempted to think the latter. As I noted in a comment on JS's post, the idea of having that many potential leaks and it not actually getting out is nearly impossible...

Pennsylvania: Early Outlook

Posted on March 05, 2008
The good news for Hillary is that Pennsylvania looks an awful lot like Ohio.The bad news is that Obama will have 7 weeks to campaign there.Give Obama 7 weeks to campaign and he could win in Utah against Mitt Romney.[Need better jokes for that last line...

Every State's a Swinger

Posted on March 05, 2008
McCain, up over Clinton and Obama, in Washington State.And McCain beats Obama in the latest polls of likely voters (as opposed to registered voters).

Obama Going Nuclear

Posted on March 05, 2008
If this report from First Read is right, Obama's campaign manager, David Plouffe, just said Hillary can't win in November:Plouffe called Clinton "a deeply flawed candidate," who could not win the independent voters that "provide a pathway to the presidency...

Hillary's End Game

Posted on March 05, 2008
Word going around today is that Hillary can't overcome Obama on pledged delegates. It's been a general assumption; now it's practically a guarantee. Without a dramatic, game-changing event, Obama will end the Democratic primary race with more pledged delegates...

Prediction: Punch, Counterpunch

Posted on March 04, 2008
My guess is that tonight Clinton will win both Texas and Ohio. Which, as the conventional wisdom says, means a long, dragged out fight to the convention. But I'm cautiously optimistic for two reasons. First, Obama hasn't released his February fundraising numbers, which are rumored to be staggering...

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