Law Students

Huckabee: The Secret Weapon

Posted on January 22, 2008
Having lost South Carolina, and likely out of momentum from his Iowa victory, what is Mike Huckabee doing in the race still?First, let's be honest and say that he may win some of the southern states on February 5th, Super Tuesday.But other than that, Politico has 2 other theories:1...

Thompson is Out

Posted on January 22, 2008
Fred Thompson drops out of the running."Today I have withdrawn my candidacy for President of the United States. I hope that my country and my party have benefited from our having made this effort. Jeri and I will always be grateful for the encouragement and friendship of so many wonderful people...

Libertarians Unite: Johnson Endorses Paul

Posted on January 22, 2008
Gary Johnson, former New Mexico governor and friend of libertarianism, has publicly endorsed Ron Paul. Now this is a big deal for Paul because, despite Johnson's eccentricities, has now garnered the endorsement of a non-fringe elected official.The rest of Paul's endorsements (Here) are a list of D-list political celebrities and wannabees, with the exception of the conservative economist Walter Williams, who appears to have endorsed Paul in a tongue-in-cheek way and to avoid Mallard Fillmore's push for a Williams run...

Quick Break From Politics

Posted on January 21, 2008
Life imitating art yesterday.Maybe I'm posting this clip because I have a Coming to America fixation as of late, or maybe I just found it particularly appropriate given the Giants' overtime field goal victory against Green Bay in yesterday's NFC Championship...

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McCain is Maybe Possibly the Front Runner

Posted on January 20, 2008
Big win in South Carolina last night, such that McCain is the arguable front runner in the race now.If McCain wins Florida I think the race is over. There will be a protest candidate if someone else can win a substantial number of Feb 5 states, but McCain will have the delegates he needs to win at the convention...

What Does Winning Mean

Posted on January 20, 2008
A few weeks ago I noted that Barack Obama actually won New Hampshire.Now it looks like he actually won Nevada as well.There are two kind of delegates. The more important kind, nationally speaking, are the [national convention delegates], of which Obama ? according to a revised AP count ? is expected to emerge with 13 to Clinton's 12...

Edwards is Not Back

Posted on January 20, 2008
False alarm back here.Edwards didn't need to win Nevada, but a second place finish would have given him a big boost. A third place finish, on its own, would have been bad. But 4%? Wow.Unless Edwards wins multiple super Tuesday states he is going to be completely marginalized by the media and most voters...

MLK's Birthday is just around the corner!

Posted on January 17, 2008
In celebration of Dr. King and his service to our nation, I give to you the My-T-Sharp conversation from Coming to America:I met Dr. Martin Luther King once.""You lyin'! You ain't never met Dr. Martin Luther King.""Yeah, I met Dr. Martin Luther King in 1962 in Memphis, Tennessee...

Edwards is Back

Posted on January 17, 2008
In the notoriously difficult polling in the run up to the Nevada caucuses Saturday, John Edwards is with striking distance of winning.This poll has it:Obama: 32Clinton: 30Edwards: 27Not bad for a guy who's been written off since Iowa. Even a second place finish for Edwards would catapult him back into the race, but an outright first place finish would really bring him some tangible momentum...

Jews Lean Toward Hillary

Posted on January 17, 2008
Both candidates seem to have fairly strong records on Israel, but Hillary is still the popular candidate among Jews.A survey last November conducted by the American Jewish Committee found that 53 percent of Jews view Clinton favorably, compared to 38 percent for both Obama and Edwards...

F*** Tim Russert?

Posted on January 17, 2008
A popular liberal blogger, Ezra Klein, is catching grief for suggesting that Tim Russert be raped with acid-tipped spiky d*** in the a**.The response? "I regret that it was made public ...."Yeah you do buddy. Way to contribute to the political discourse in America.

Erasing White Males . . .

Posted on January 16, 2008
Former Congressman Floyd Flake, who it's hard not to like, explains my point about the danger of pandering and the November election calculus in the New York Daily News.So, for the sake of the Democratic Party's electoral chances and its two historic candidates, two things must occur immediately...

Fickle Palmetto State

Posted on January 16, 2008
Now that Michigan has come and gone, GOP eyes shift to South Carolina and Florida; and the Democrats to South Carolina and Nevada, respectively. I will make a bold claim here: South Carolina will determine the nominees and the Presidency in 2008.Here's why:First in the GOP contest, John McCain's perceived edge in SC is illusory...

What Next on the GOP Side?

Posted on January 16, 2008
Good analysis from Jonathan Martin here.[T]here will be no coronation for John McCain. Successive wins in New Hampshire, Michigan and then South Carolina would have put him in an extraordinarily strong position to win the GOP nomination. But with Romney?s very solid victory, McCain's momentum has, at the very least, been slowed considerably...

Soy Barack Obama

Posted on January 16, 2008
Obama's Spanish Language ad for Nevada voters is here.Slate approves:The ad, which airs in Nevada before Saturday's caucus, tweaks Obama's message slightly for an increased Hispanic demographic. (Nevada is about 24 percent Latino, according to the 2006 U...

Calling it for Romney at 5 percent reporting

Posted on January 15, 2008
It seems as if Romney, who currently holds a 6-7 point lead over McCain at this point, will see his lead only grow as the night wears on. Why? Romney is a huge favorite in the Detroit and surrounding suburbs (Wayne County, Oakland County) where he beats McCain something awful, like 50 percent to 27...

Charles Rangel Agrees With Me

Posted on January 15, 2008
Earlier today I said I thought Obama's spin on Hillary's MLK statement was really bad.Charles Rangel, the congressman from NY, and admittedly a Hillary supporter, agrees here. Except I said Obama just had a really bad argument. Rangel calls the spin "absolutely stupid...

Martin Luther King Didn't Kill Hitler

Posted on January 15, 2008
No one doubts that Martin Luther King, Jr. was largely responsible for the awareness of the civil rights struggle in the 50's and 60's. But is it really canonical that MLK is responsible for everything good associated with the civil rights movement? Hillary got in trouble for saying in an interview that MLK needed President Johnson to get major civil rights legislation passed...

My Staffer's Mom Supports Me

Posted on January 15, 2008
Romney gets caught having a photo op with his staffer's mom. Uh, whoops.Local and national media outlets, including Politico.com, reported that Romney was the picture of empathy as he sat at the Marshall, Mich. kitchen table of 51-year-old Elizabeth Sachs, a single mother of two who lost her job as a retail manager ? as well as her health insurance ? and is running out of money as she tries to sell her house to move to Florida...

"No Dignity, No Class, and No Couth"

Posted on January 15, 2008
McCain's concession speech was interrupted by Romney's victory speech. The McCain people were not happy about this.But kudos to McCain for spinning the loss is a fairly persuasive way. Romney won because he's the "native son." As in, what did you want? The dude is from Michigan.

Watch for Giluiani-McCain Skirmish

Posted on January 14, 2008
In almost any other year, the strategy of waiting out the primaries in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada (not to mention Wyoming and Michigan) would be outright ludicrous.Yet Giuliani has incredibly pursued this strategy with what looked like some success...

Huckabee Can't Sing "My Girl"

Posted on January 11, 2008
Mike Huckabee spent a little time in Michigan and went to the Motown museum to get private tour. That seems fine. But check this out.Their tour ended in the famous "Studio A," where the museum guide instructed Huckabee and his wife to perform a choreographed version of "My Girl" for reporters and camera crews, who laughed as Huckabee smiled and mumbled his way through the chorus...

Chris Matthews and Hillary Get it On

Posted on January 11, 2008
Chris Matthews is obsessed with Hillary Clinton. Check out the 1:35 mark on that video. Matthews is making me uncomfortable.

Monkeying Around in Michigan

Posted on January 11, 2008
With the Democratic primary essentially dead in the Wolverine State, Daily Kos is encouraging Michigan liberals to cast their vote for Romney in the state's January 15th open primary.Targeting moderate opposition candidates can indeed be an effective tactic against a looming mainstreamer threat by killing them off before they can reach independent voters...

Thompson Come Back?

Posted on January 11, 2008
Written off for dead and branded with the narrative that he's lazy, Thomspon is all in in South Carolina. But the polls show him running 4th there.Last night's debate, however, may help him get a little higher before it's all said and done.Early in the 90-minute event, Thompson laid out a bill of complaints about Huckabee's heresies on tax cuts, immigration, and foreign policy...

1/2/08: Hillary Will Cry in Public

Posted on January 10, 2008
In a sea of political bloggers, the fact that one of them predicted Hillary would cry in public isn't remarkable. Still, give this blogger some credit:What I dread most in this political season is the ?genuine? moment - and it is coming, soon, sometime between today and tomorrow, or tomorrow and New Hampshire - when Mrs...

Michigan Polling

Posted on January 10, 2008
Michigan is Romney's last stand. The polling so far is all over the map, but McCain is looking good and the NH momentum may carry him to victory here. If so the Romney train is going to stop.Romney seems to realize this, as he's pulling his South Carolina ads to bring the money to Michigan...

Delegate Count Post-New Hampshire

Posted on January 09, 2008
In a rare agreement with the DailyKos, we're both scratching our heads at these delegates numbers:Total Count: Super TotalClinton: 159 183Obama: 53 78Edwards: 34 52Hmm. Hillary wins 24 delegates after Iowa and NH (to Obama's 25) and yet she's now up by 105 delegates.

Slate's Explanation For Obama's NH Victory

Posted on January 09, 2008
Why doesn't 8000 votes in NH get Hillary more delegates?Democratic presidential candidates gain delegates in each state as long as they capture at least 15 percent of the votes, and they're awarded delegates in proportion to the amount of votes they receive in each district and statewide...

The Others, Not Just on Lost

Posted on January 09, 2008
They say New Hampshire has an independent streak, but who could have predicted that the villains in ABC's TV show Lost would have done well there last night.See the results here."The Others," on the Democratic side, beat Biden, Gravel, and Dodd. On the GOP side, they beat Thompson(!), Hunter, and Tancredo...

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