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McCain Wins GOP Nomination

By wt

If the 51 for 53 estimate for California is right, I do believe the race is over, and McCain is the nominee.

Here's the word from the McCain camp:

Speaking with reporters today, McCain adviser Charlie Black said, "To date, we have 775 delegates, Romney has 284, Huckabee has 205.

It takes 1,191 to clinch the nomination. There are 963 left to be chosen, so Romney or Huckabee would have to have all of them -- all of them -- to get to 1,191.

Now you can't do that because a majority of those 963 are chosen in proportional primaries, which means you'd have to get 100% of the vote to get them all.

"It's virtually impossible for Romney or Huckabee to be the nominee just based on the arithmetic," Black added.

"I see it as virtually impossible. I'm superstitious like my boss. I don't want to say any thing's impossible, but it's virtually impossible on the arithmetic."

Sound logic to me. Except that math actually does, mathematically, exclude Huckabee at this point. Even all 963 delegates that are left wouldn't give him the nomination.

Congratulations John McCain. Barring a brokered convention or a delegate revolt, you're the nominee.

Full post as published by Expressio Unius on February 06, 2008 (boomark / email).