Obama is winning Maryland handily but the questions remain the same for me in terms of whether he will win the nomination. The demographics are my point:
(%age of vote) Clinton Obama
(43%) 55% 42%
(33%) 16% 84%
(4%) 56% 44%
That demographic breakdown on voting margins loses Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania handily for Obama. Obama still has a lot to prove in terms of winning contested large primaries. And yes, this is important for the general election as well.
Another good day for Obama. He wins Maine:With 70% reporting, Obama had 58% to Hillary's 41%. The surprisingly big victory for Obama came on the same day as the Hillary campaign signaled a recognition of its travails by announcing a shuffling of their inner circle, replacing campaign manager and longtime loyalist Patti Solis Doyle with longtime Hillary confidant Maggie Williams...
Potomac Primary Predictions Just about perfectly in line with Captain Ed.Predictions look easy for today. I'll predict sweeps by both McCain and Obama. For McCain, I'd guess that he wins Virginia by nine, with Huckabee's mini-surge falling a bit short...
Clinton Wins American Samoa When you're tallying up your state-by-state figures from last night (Clinton wins California, Obama wins Missouri, etc.), don't forget to include that Hillary won American Samoa.A record 285 caucus-goers voted in a hotel in Pago Pago, American Samoa...
Intrade Success In all the action that happened last night, it's easy to forget about some things. Like the fact that I made hella money.1. In all the flux as Lake County was waiting to come in, I sold my Obama-wins-Indiana stock for 4...
What happens after tonight Noam Scheiber reviews the possible scenarios after today's primaries.1.) Hillary wins both Ohio and Texas. I don't see how this doesn't send us into a six-week-long battle for Pennsylvania...
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