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Potomac Primary Predictions

By wt

Just about perfectly in line with Captain Ed.

Predictions look easy for today. I'll predict sweeps by both McCain and Obama. For McCain, I'd guess that he wins Virginia by nine, with Huckabee's mini-surge falling a bit short.

Maryland will go to McCain by twenty points, meaning McCain will take at least 23 of the state's 37 delegates.

He'll take DC's 19 delegates in the winner-take-all contest by at least five points, giving him 105 delegates at night's end to Huckabee's 14, and the gap will increase to almost 600.

Obama will win them all today as well, but he will have to split more equitably with Hillary than McCain does with Huckabee.

I'd give him roughly 60% of the 168 delegates at stake today. That will put him at 98 to 72, or a 26-delegate advantage over Hillary for the day. It will look more impressive as state wins than in the delegate race, which will be true from here on out with the Democrats.

Yep. Just about right. 8 in a row for Obama.

The only question now is: Can Hillary stop Obama in Wisconsin? Otherwise it will be 10 in a row going into March.

Full post as published by Expressio Unius on February 12, 2008 (boomark / email).