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Gary Condit and Chandra Levy: Undone by Randomness and Confirmation Bias

Gary Condit was a Congressperson who had an affair with his 23-year-old intern.  He was about to break off the affair.  The intern was upset, and was considering going public with the affair.  Later, Ms. Levy disappeared.  Gary Condit must have done it, right?  How could he have not?  The narrative makes perfect sense.Wrong (h/t):Authorities in Washington, D.C. may be close to an arrest in the murder of former government intern Chandra Levy, a case that made headlines, and brought down a congressman eight years ago. There are reports that D.C. police have submitted evidence to the U.S. Attorney's Office in an effort to get an arrest warrant for a man identified as Ingmar Guandique. He's behind bars, convicted of assaulting two women jogging in Washington's Rock Creek Park...continue to full post

Full post as published by Crime & Federalism on February 21, 2009 (boomark / email).