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Legal Commentary

: Balkinization

My 2008 Election Projection

By Jack M. Balkin

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Here is my best guess at what will happen: 353 electoral votes for Obama; 185 electoral votes for McCain. Tomorrow we will know how badly I got this wrong. Thank goodness I have a day job that doesn't require me to predict anything of importance.

You will note that I have given North Carolina to Obama and my home state of Missouri to McCain. I would be delighted if Obama also picked up Missouri (for a grand total of 364), but you can't have everything.

If Obama loses both Missouri and North Carolina, he would fall back to 338 electoral votes. This would be my second best guess at the result.




Full post as published by Balkinization on November 03, 2008 (boomark / email).

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