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: LawPundit

BCS Championship Game : Alabama vs. Texas : YPPSYS NCAA FBS College Football Bowl Game Predictions 2009 / 2010 Season

By Andis Kaulins

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January 7, 2010, Thursday

34. BCS Championship Game, Pasadena, CA, Alabama vs. Texas, 8:00 pm

Alabama was favored in the opening line by 4 points and that has dropped at the time of this posting to 3.5 points.

YPPSYS I ranks Alabama 2nd with a ranking of 2.0 and Texas 5th with a ranking 1.7, a difference of 0.3 x 9 = 2.7 points. Our assessment of margin of victory as adjusted by schedule difficulty (YPPSYS II) ranks the Texas Longhorns 1st in the nation with 24.6 points as opposed to Alabama's 20.6 (3rd in the nation), i.e. a difference of 4 points in favor of Texas.

Texas has the stronger defense and there is a greater likelihood that the Longhorns can get their offense to kick into gear in this game due to their quarterback, Colt McCoy, the nation's most accurate passer. The Crimson Tide does not have a defense quite as strong as that of Nebraska.

Our call: We call the game in favor of Texas, 27-24.


Full post as published by LawPundit on December 28, 2009 (boomark / email).

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