Legal Commentary

Quinnepac PA Poll: Obama Gains But Clinton Still Ahead by Six

By Jeralyn

A new Quinnepac poll on Pennsylvania is out. It shows Barack Obama cutting into Hillary Clinton's lead there, but she's still ahead, 49 to 43%.

The increase for Obama is attributed to the youth vote.

This biggest movement is among younger voters who went from 52 - 41 percent for Clinton February 14 to 58 - 41 percent for Obama today, a shift of 28 points.

The other numbers show:

Among likely Democratic primary voters, women back Clinton 53 - 39 percent, while men back Obama 50 - 43 percent; white voters go with Clinton 56 - 37 percent while black voters support Obama 69 - 23 percent. Democrats with a college degree favor Obama 53 - 41 percent, while voters without a degree back Clinton 52 - 39 percent.

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I think the PA numbers will be affected by the March 4 results. If Hillary wins big in Ohio and even marginally in Texas, her support in PA may rise. If she doesn't, PA may be irrelevant. It's primary is not until late April.

On a McCain matchup, the two are similar:

n a general election matchup, Sen. Clinton has 44 percent to 42 percent of registered voters for Arizona Sen. John McCain, the Republican front-runner. Sen. Obama has 42 percent to Sen. McCain's 40 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Reuters on the poll is here.

Full post as published by TalkLeft on February 27, 2008 (boomark / email).