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Middleton: Fed's Own Data Debunks Stress Tests - Bernanke is Lying!

By Implode-Explode Heavy Industries

``The Fed's 2 year cumulative loan loss rate for Alt A loans (7.5%-9.5%) appear overly optimistic and is even lower than current delinquency as of December 31, 2008 (9.69%). Based on the Fed's data (that's right, this data is sourced directly from the Fed itself, which explicitly contradicts the data that the Fed released for its stress tests) for Loan losses for Alt -A loans as of March, 2009 (for loans past due and current foreclosures) adjusted for recovery based on LTV taking into consideration price decline and original LTV, 2 yr cumulative losses for Alt A is expected to reach 19.98% which is significantly higher than Fed's adverse case of 9.5-13% - nearly twice as much!''

Full post as published by Mortgage Lender Implode-o-Meter on May 12, 2009 (boomark / email).