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LBB: Texas' prison population will dip next year for the first time in decades before rising further

Ever since the Governor fired Dr. Tony Fabelo and abolished the state's independent criminal justice number crunchers, the Texas Legislative Budget Board assumed responsibility for issuing population projections for the adult and criminal justice systems. These are the official data on which state agencies base their budget requests and legislative budget writers authorized the expenditure of tax dollars for the Department of Criminal Justice and the Youth Commission.See the latest projections here (pdf - June 2008). To me this is a fascinating and useful document, and a truly interdisciplinary one. LBB has to pull data from all sorts of different agencies and sources to produce these estimates, and the methodology sections are essentially a prose description of the mathematical reasoning contained in the main section...continue to full post

Full post as published by Grits for Breakfast on September 13, 2008 (boomark / email).