Legal Commentary

Divergence

By Big Tent Democrat

One thing does bother me about the polling lately - while the state polls have shown a huge shift towards Obama - big leads in blue states (CA, NY, IL), sizable leads in big swing states (FL, OH, PA), ties in big red states (VA, NC) and yet the national polling has Obama by 4 after Obama opened as much as a 9 point lead in some national tracking polls.

The results do not jibe. One possible explanation is that the Q polls were taken from the 9th to the 16th. Early in that period, Obama's results ramped up nationally before coming back to 4. In a sense, perhaps the Q polls are already out of date. Just a thought.

By Big Tent Democrat

Full post as published by TalkLeft on June 18, 2008 (boomark / email).