Home -> Law Blog Directory -> Law Students Blogs -> Expressio Unius
(866) 635-2689 for Personal Injury or (866) 635-9402 for Criminal Defense
Find a Local Lawyer
Divorce (866) 635-6190
Personal Injury (866) 635-2689
Criminal Defense (866) 635-9402
Law Students
: Expressio UniusMark It Down, Redux: My Prediction for the 2008 Presidential Election
Looking to the states that were decided by 5 percent or less back in 2004, I say ...
Obama picks up Colorado, Oregon, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire.
McCain, meanwhile, takes New Mexico, Ohio, Missori, Iowa, and Florida. The big question here is whether his anti-farmer image will hurt him in the Midwest. If he loses a single rural midwestern state, he's finished.
That's it. Final tally, 272 for McCain, 266 for Obama.
Assumptions: McCain chooses Crist, Obama doesn't choose Warner, Webb, or Sebelius.
This prediction rides on McCain taking Crist as his VP, which I predicted long ago he would. If he takes Pawlenty, who couldn't even deliver MN during the GOP primary, he will likely lose Florida and probably not even pick up Minnesota's 10 electoral votes. Conversely, if Obama takes Warner or Webb as his VP, he turns Virginia, and he wins easily. If he chooses Kathleen Sebelius, Governor of Kansas - he still wins.
In sum, I disagree with WT. Michigan is not the axis of the 2008 election, and NH doesn't really factor in. I am loathe to say it, but conventional wisdom prevails here: it's all about Iowa, Ohio, and Florida, and, more importantly, the VP picks.
It's a wild prediction, but I'm standing by it. Any takers?
Full post as published by Expressio Unius on June 12, 2008 (boomark / email).
Transportation Equity Act for the 21st Century
TEA-21 - Plus Law 105-178
Mark Eagleson
$63,725 restitution settles fraud lawsuit.
Ford F-150 Recall
alleging a hose in the F-150 and Lincoln Mark LT pickup trucks could affect braking power.
Ballot Device
Election Systems and Software agrees to pays city of San Francisco $3.5 million settlement after problems with AutoMARK lead to prolonged hand counting of votes.
Cipro
The FDA is seeking to add black box warnings of the risk of tendon rupture associated with Cipro and Levaquin.
The ruptures can involve Achilles tendon, shoulder, hand, bicep or thumb tendons, and is especially increased in patients older than 60, or people who have received kidney, heart or lung transplants, as well as people on steroid therapy...
#1 Online Legal Resource
On 08-25 at 15:46PM
Acute perpendicular parking #NYPD #NYFD
On 08-18 at 22:18PM
Parallel parking gone bad. Too much gas UES NYC
On 08-18 at 21:41PM
UES NYC
On 08-18 at 21:25PM
Twitter suspends journalist critical of broadcast partner's coverage on dubious grounds @guyadams #nbcfail #twitterfail
On 07-30 at 17:57PM
Model example of 1st Amendment suppression by the People of New York City's Michael Bloomberg #OWS #NYPD
On 07-12 at 21:07PM
AG Holder lackadaisical on Operation in our Sites domain name seizures & RIAA lobbied free speech suppression @dajaz1
On 06-08 at 22:44PM
Why is the Catholic Church going to court over Obama contraception policy? @NewYorker commentary
On 05-31 at 10:08AM
Monks sue Louisiana for right to sell caskets made from forrest destroyed by Katrina
On 05-31 at 07:47AM
Are the abortion ultrasound laws headed for the Supreme Court?
On 05-15 at 21:52PM
Implicit Associations in the 2008 Presidential Election
Unconscious Bias and the 2008 Presidential Election
The Supreme Redux: Is John McCain Ineligible to Be President
A Manipulated Prediction Market
Bell on Prediction Markets & the Law
 |
|
Contact Us | About Us | Celebrity Law Blog |
Our Partners | Disclaimer
| Law Blog Directory
| Law Jobs
| Law Tweets
| Oil Spill Video
All original material © 1999-2011 by USLaw.com. All other material, including Blog Directory feed content, are © by their respective copyright holders. |