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: Calculated RiskCensus 2010 Housing Occupancy and Vacancy Data
By Anonymous
? February Existing Home Sales: 4.88 million SAAR, 8.6 months of supply
? Existing Home Inventory decreases 1.2% Year over Year
? Existing Home Sales and Inventory Graphs
The Census Bureau has released data for 42 states so far. These states account for about 83% of the U.S. housing stock based on the 2000 and 1990 Census data. Here is a table of the data released so far - total housing units, Occupied and Vacant - for each state, plus the vacancy rate for 2010, 2000 and 1990. The data is sortable by column.
Here is a spreadsheet of the 2010, 2000 and 1990 for those who want to look at the data.
Once all of the data is released, I'll post some more analysis. This data is useful in estimating the number of excess vacant units, the absorption rate by state, demolitions and more.
The following table shows the increase in percentage points in the vacancy rate by state. This table compares to the 2000 Census and also an average of the 1990 and 2000 Census. (sorted by highest percentage point increase from 2000). The data for the remaining 8 states and D.C. will be released by April 1st.
The "excess units" uses the change in vacancy rate times the total number of housing units.
Some states like Vermont always have a high vacancy rate because of the number of summer homes (the Census is an estimate as of April 1, 2010), so it is important to compare to previous Census vacancy rates.
We can also calculate an absorption rate (not included) by using the increase in occupied units between 2000 and 2010 - as an example, even though Nevada saw the largest increase in vacancy rate, it is a faster growing state than say Ohio - so the excess housing units may be absorbed quicker (of course Nevada also has the highest percentage of borrowers with negative equity - another problem!)
| Change from: | 2000 Census | Average 2000 and 1990 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Vacancy Rate in Percentage Points | Excess Units | Change in Percentage Points | Excess Units | |
| Nevada | 5.1% | 59,338 | 4.6% | 53,996 |
| Florida | 4.2% | 380,887 | 2.9% | 263,512 |
| Georgia | 3.9% | 160,129 | 3.0% | 121,064 |
| Ohio | 3.2% | 162,506 | 3.4% | 176,515 |
| Arizona | 3.1% | 89,502 | 1.0% | 27,463 |
| Wisconsin | 2.9% | 77,083 | 2.4% | 61,696 |
| Tennessee | 2.9% | 80,489 | 2.8% | 79,932 |
| Minnesota | 2.8% | 65,900 | 1.5% | 35,579 |
| Indiana | 2.8% | 76,999 | 2.6% | 72,745 |
| Delaware | 2.7% | 11,135 | 1.9% | 7,666 |
| Illinois | 2.7% | 141,182 | 2.3% | 121,780 |
| Colorado | 2.6% | 56,688 | 0.1% | 2,420 |
| Mississippi | 2.5% | 32,221 | 2.6% | 33,107 |
| North Carolina | 2.3% | 101,068 | 2.6% | 110,489 |
| Missouri | 2.3% | 62,267 | 2.0% | 52,948 |
| Vermont | 2.2% | 7,208 | 0.2% | 640 |
| California | 2.2% | 305,515 | 1.6% | 213,702 |
| Idaho | 2.2% | 14,781 | 1.4% | 9,089 |
| New Jersey | 2.1% | 75,520 | 1.3% | 45,243 |
| Virginia | 2.1% | 71,336 | 1.6% | 52,278 |
| Montana | 2.1% | 10,072 | 1.0% | 4,886 |
| Washington | 1.9% | 54,065 | 1.6% | 46,283 |
| Iowa | 1.8% | 24,589 | 1.7% | 23,357 |
| Connecticut | 1.8% | 26,300 | 1.4% | 20,652 |
| Arkansas | 1.7% | 22,950 | 1.8% | 24,071 |
| Alabama | 1.7% | 37,409 | 2.6% | 56,385 |
| Louisiana | 1.7% | 33,304 | 0.5% | 10,753 |
| Maryland | 1.7% | 40,080 | 1.7% | 41,387 |
| Nebraska | 1.7% | 13,385 | 1.2% | 9,391 |
| Utah | 1.7% | 16,215 | 0.9% | 9,086 |
| Kentucky | 1.6% | 30,786 | 2.0% | 37,740 |
| Kansas | 1.6% | 19,395 | 0.9% | 11,564 |
| Texas | 1.2% | 119,793 | -0.8% | -80,526 |
| Oregon | 1.2% | 19,385 | 1.5% | 24,654 |
| South Dakota | 1.1% | 4,090 | 0.5% | 1,867 |
| Oklahoma | 0.9% | 14,776 | -0.6% | -9,198 |
| Pennsylvania | 0.8% | 47,067 | 0.9% | 48,483 |
| Alaska | 0.8% | 2,592 | -1.0% | -3,080 |
| North Dakota | 0.2% | 657 | -0.6% | -1,890 |
| Hawaii | -0.1% | -469 | 1.8% | 9,499 |
| Wyoming | -0.2% | -393 | -1.9% | -4,956 |
| New Mexico | -0.9% | -8,495 | -1.4% | -12,962 |
| District of Columbia | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Maine | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Massachusetts | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Michigan | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| New Hampshire | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| New York | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Rhode Island | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| South Carolina | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| West Virginia | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Full post as published by Calculated Risk on March 21, 2011 (boomark / email).
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