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Loan Modification

: Mortgage Lender Implode-o-Meter

Fannie Debt Merger Monetization

By Implode-Explode Heavy Industries

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"The market will eventually adopt the view that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been nationalized. Last week's elimination of limits on Treasury's capital infusion into Fannie and Freddie is a defacto nationalization. In other words, there is no longer much chance of a re-privatization, but instead we will see a gradual transformation of these Frankensteins into new branches of government. They will implement the official government agenda for housing, without much regard for prudent lending. This will have huge consequences for the Treasury market. While the federal government will stick to its Enron-style accounting, and not officially consolidate Fannie/Freddie assets and liabilities onto the government balance sheet, the smarter foreign creditors will. These creditors will start viewing Fannie/Freddie liabilities as equal to Treasuries in terms of default risk. But this does not mean that spreads on Fannie/Freddie liabilities will tighten down to Treasuries. Rather, it will substantially increase the long-term default risk of Treasuries, and Treasury buyers will demand higher rates to compensate for this risk.

Full post as published by Mortgage Lender Implode-o-Meter on January 01, 2010 (boomark / email).