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Q-Poll OH: Clinton Up 11; ARG Clinton Up By 10.

By Big Tent Democrat

Bump and Update (TL): ARG Ohio poll out today has Clinton 49% and Obama 39%.

In Ohio, Obama leads among men 49% to 37% (46% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads among women 59% to 31%. Clinton leads among white voters 56% to 31% (82% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads among African American voters 79% to 15% (16% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among voters age 18 to 49 (61% of likely Democratic primary voters), it is Clinton 43% and Obama 42%. Among voters age 50 years and older, Clinton leads 58% to 34%.

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By Big Tent Democrat

While Hillary Clinton's lead in Ohio is smaller than it was, it remains a double digit lead according to the latest Quinnipiac poll:

Clinton 51 (55)
Obama 40 (34)

Inside the numbers:

More...

College-educated voters back Sen. Obama 58 - 33 percent, compared to a 46 - 41 percent Clinton lead with these voters February 14. . . . Sen. Clinton's large margins among women, 53 - 36 percent; older voters, whites and those without a college education keep her out front.

This is the old demographic math. So far Obama has not rebuilt his Wisconsin coalition. While 11 points is closer than 21, Obama's inroads are not in Clinton's coaliton, as it was in Wisconsin. Clinton looks poised to win Ohio pretty comfortably.

Update (TL): Comments now closed

Full post as published by TalkLeft on February 25, 2008 (boomark / email).