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Legal Commentary

: TalkLeft

Obama Up 5 In WI

By Big Tent Democrat

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By Big Tent Democrat

Research 2000 says it is 47-42:

ALL MEN WOMEN

Barack Obama 47% 53% 42%

Hillary Clinton 42% 36% 47%

Undecided 11% 11% 11%

More . . .

OBA CLIN UND

WHITE 44% 45% 11%

BLACK 84% 5% 11%

HISPANIC 34% 54% 12%

Obama is doing very well with white male voters in Wisconsin according to this poll. If he can translate this result to Texas, Ohio and Pennsyvania, he will be the nominee.

Two issues here for Wisconsin, how much of Obama's support is non-Democratic, and will they turn out? This turnout model has only 52% of the electorate being women. If it is 55 of 56%, Obama loses.

Full post as published by TalkLeft on February 15, 2008 (boomark / email).

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