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Legal Commentary
: TalkLeftThe Delegate Math; Clinton Nixing MI Proposal?
By Big Tent Democrat
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It looks less definitive than I thought it would. Here is Chris Bowers' analysis:
[W]ith Florida seated as is, Clinton trails by 95 delegates when the Michigan Party's plan is enacted. Further, since Edwards has declined to make an endorsement, his 32 delegates are now effectively uncommitted superdelegates. So, this means that the best case-scenario for Clinton right now is that she trails by 95 delegates with 550.5 delegates remaining. So, even in Clitnon's best case scenario, Obama only needs 228 of the remaining 550.5 delegates, or 41.4%, to win the nomination.
Obama still needs 41.4% of the remaining delegates with this FL/MI plan? I thought the math was worse than that for Clinton.
Clinton Nixing MI Proposal? See below.
Update [2008-5-8 14:50:35 by Big Tent Democrat]: Greg Sargent reports this reaction from the Clinton campaign on the MI proposal:This proposal does not honor the 600,000 votes that were cast in Michigan's January primary. Those votes must be counted.
Bad play by the Clinton campaign. I would have argued that it does honor and RECOGNIZE the 600,000 votes, at least in part, and thank the Obama campaign for accepting that Michigan must count.
By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only.
Comment closed.
Full post as published by TalkLeft on May 08, 2008 (boomark / email).
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