Indiana

PRIMARY COLORS

By Abdul Hakim-Shabazz

Today is the primary.  You know what to do so go do it.  Here are my predictions about today’s outcome and the reasons behind them.   You’re welcome to add your own.

Presidential - I say Barack by 2-3 points.  While Hillary leads in the Real Clear Average Poll and she has the mindles zombies participating in Operation Choas, I think the 160,000 new registered voters will be enough to put Barack over the top if they come out and participate today. 

Governor - I give this one to Jill Long Thompson.  Jim Schellinger’s campaign only came to life in the last couple weeks.  And Long Thompson has been ahead in just about every poll that’s been taken.  I give her the nod by 5.

7th District - I hate to disappoint the Andre Carson haters but I think he will pull this one off, also by about 5 points.  Had it been a two-person race between Carson and Myers, I think Myers would be able to score a clear win.  He may be able to eek out a victory by a  couple points, but I think the Carson-Obama connection puts Carson over the top by 5 over his challengers.

5th District - I don’t think change will come to the second most Republican District in the country.  Dan Burton will likely stay.  I think if Jon McGoff had more money and hit Burton earlier this would have been a different story.  The sliver lining in all this is that if there is a God, this will be Danny’s last term in office.

These are my predictions, but the caveat in all this is that it could change.  :-) 

Go vote and don’t forget your ID.

Full post as published by Indiana Barrister on May 06, 2008 (boomark / email).