Indiana

POLL WATCHING

By Abdul Hakim-Shabazz

There are a couple polls worth talking about this morning in the Indiana Governor’s race.

The Jill Long Thompson camp has just released a poll showing Mitch Daniels with an overall 7-point lead in the Governor’s race. The poll shows Daniels leading 43-36, with 21 percent undecided. The poll also shows Hoosiers are split 43-43 on whether the state is on the right track, with 14 percent undecided.

I think what is telling about the JLT poll is that it reveals what a lot of us already knew, outside of Northern Indiana she has her work cut out for her.

For example, while JLT beats Daniels in Northern Indiana 48-36, Daniels wins in Indianapolis 54-32 and Southern Indiana 48-41. That regionalism is also reflected when voters were asked about Daniels’ approval rating (85 percent fair or better, Indianapolis/ 73 percent fair or better, Southern Indiana) and whether the state is on the right track (50-36, Indianapolis/45-41 Southern Indiana).

JLT’s poll was taken 5/20-5/22. It sampled 765 likely voters and had a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

A poll cited by Indiana Insight showed Daniels with a bigger lead over JLT.

Daniels beats JLT 51-35. His favorable ratings are 60-33. Hers are 33-17. The poll also shows Daniels beating JLT in Marion County 59-29.

That poll surveyd 601 registered voters (95 percent were certain to vote) and had a margin of error of 3.5 percent. The audience identified itself as 36 percent Democrat, 35 percent Republican and 24 percent Independent. It was taken from 5/27-6/1.

Full post as published by Indiana Barrister on June 11, 2008 (boomark / email).