Academic

Bell on Prediction Markets & the Law
Tom W. Bell (Chapman University School of Law) has posted Private Prediction Markets and the Law (Journal of Prediction Markets, 2008) on SSRN. Here is the abstract: This paper analyses the legality of private prediction markets under U...

Manipulation of Prediction Markets:
The most important objection to governmental use of prediction markets is the danger that third parties might manipulate them. If officials deciding whether to expand a highway use a prediction market...

Prediction Markets & Being Blacklisted at Volokh Conspiracy
Jonathan Adler today quotes from an opinion in the NYT by Northwestern professor on whether prediction markets should be granted...

Hands Off Prediction Markets:
John McGinnis fears the federal government may squelch prediction markets....

An Intro to Prediction Markets and the Liquidity Problem:
Thanks, Eugene! I am pleased to be a guest conspirator, and I?m looking forward to writing about Predictocracy. I imagine most readers here are familiar with prediction markets, so I?ll...

Why Normative Markets
In my last post, I described and gave a general argument for normative prediction markets. If a prediction market forecasts an evaluation by someone to be selected randomly from...

Robert Fresh Markets Win $21.6 Million Insurance Lawsuit
Robert Fresh Groceries Wins $21.6 Million Katrina Insurance Lawsuit