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Legal Commentary
: The Volokh Conspiracy2d Amend. Results
By David Kopel
Senate: +5.5
House: +7.25
Governors: +2.5
Constitutions: +4
S.C. 5: House Budget Chairman John Spratt (D, D) defeated by Mick Mulvaney (R, A). Good for 2d Amendment, and the public fisc. +1
Ill. 17. Bobby Schilling (R, A) takes the seat from Phil Hare (D, F). +1
Louisiana. Joseph Cao (R, C) unseated by Cedric Richmond (D, F). First net loss of the evening. -.5
Republicans take State House of Representives in Pennsylvania. Good news for RKBA.
South Carolina and Arkansas Constitutions: Right to hunt and fish amendments have been declared winners. Still awaiting results from similar amendment in Arizona.
Penn. 7. Joe Sestak?s open seat is taken by Pat Meehan (R, A). +1
Kansas Constitution: ?Shall the state amend its Constitution to include an individual right to bear arms?? With 19% of precincts reporting, the question leads 87% to 13%. I project that it will win.
Wisc. Sen. Ron Johnson (R, A) unseats Russ Feingold (D, C). Feingold has been a great leader on many civil liberties issues. I hope he finds a way to stay on the national scene. +.5
N.J. 3. Jon Runyan (R, A) unseats John Adler (D, D). +1
Wisc. Gov. Scott Walker (R, A) wins open seat. Very important. Means that Wisconsin has a very good chance of enacting licensed carry next year.
Penn. 3. Kathy Dahlkemper (D, C) unseated by Mike Kelly (R, A). +.5
Tennessee Constitution. With over half the precincts in, the right to hunt and fish amendment to the state constitution is leading 90% to 10%. I hereby declare it a winner.
Penn. Gov. Tom Corbett (R, A) wins, replacing the retiring Ed Rendell. +1
N.H. 1. Frank Guinta (R, A) unseats Carol Shea-Porter (D, F).
Mass. Gov. Deval Patrick re-elected. Unfortunate.
Kan. Gov. Sam Brownback (R, A) wins. Replaces the Lt. Gov. who succeeded Sebelius and who did not run. +5.
Fla. 2. Alan Southerland (R, A) beats incumbent Alan Boyd (D, D).
N.D. Sen. John Hoeven (R, A) takes seat held by retiring Byron Dorgan (D, D+). +1
Mich. Gov. Rick Snyder (R, refused to answer NRA questionaire) defeats F-rated Dem.
Tenn. Gov. Mike Haslam (R, B-) defeats Mike McWherter (D, C-).
Ark. Gov. Incumbent Mike Beebe (D, A-) beats Jim Keet (R, B+).
Fla. 8. Daniel Webster (R, A) defeats Alan Grayson (D, B). +.25.
W.V. Sen. Manchin (D, A) wins. Takes the seat of the late Robert Byrd. +1
Conn. Sen. Blumenthal (D, F) wins, replacing Chris Dodd. Will be even more of an anti-gun leader.
Ark. Sen. Boozman (R, A) defeats Blanche Lincoln (D, D+). +1.
Fla. 24. Suzanne Kosmas (D, F-rated) loses. +1.
N.H. Gov. Lynch (Dem, C-rated by NRA) re-elected.
Fla. Rubio (R) win. Keeps seat pro-gun.
Missouri. Blunt (R) defeats Carnahan. Keeps seat in pro-gun hands.
N.H. Ayotte (R) wins. Improvement over retiring Judd Gregg (R). +.5
Ohio: Portman (R) defeats former Handgun Control, Inc., board member Lee Fisher. Will replace usually-anti George Voinovich. +1
Kentucky: Rand Paul wins. Replaces retiring Jim Bunning. Will probably be more of a leader on the issue than Bunning was.
Indiana. Dan Coats (R) wins. When previously in the Senate, was sometimes good, but not always. Dem. Brad Ellsworth would have been better. Retiring Sen. Evan Bayh was always bad. +5.
Vermont. Pat Leahy (D) re-elected. Much better to have him as chair or ranking member of Judiciary than Herb Kohl.
Full post as published by The Volokh Conspiracy on November 02, 2010 (boomark / email).
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