Legal Commentary

Quinnipiac Poll: Hillary Gains in Pennsylvania

By Jeralyn

A Quinnipiac poll out today shows Hillary Clinton has expanded her lead over Barack Obama in Pennsylvania over the past three weeks.

Among likely Democratic primary voters, she now has a 12 point lead, 53 to 41%. On Feb. 27, she led Obama 49% to 43%.

Hillary increased her lead among women while narrowing Obama's lead among men. The numbers:

• White voters go with Clinton 61 - 33 percent, compared to 56 - 37 percent February 27.
• Black voters back Obama 76 - 18 percent, compared to 69 - 23 percent February 27.
• Women back Clinton 59 - 35 percent.
• Men go 48 percent for Obama to 45 percent for Clinton, compared to February 27 when men backed him 50 - 43 percent.
• Obama gets 50 percent of Democrats with a college degree, to Clinton's 45 percent.
• Among voters with no college degree, Clinton leads 57 - 37 percent.
• Voters under 45 back Obama 57 - 39 percent while voters over 45 back Clinton 60 - 34 percent.

Quinnipiac says the momentum is with Hillary. As to race: [More...]

Her endorsement by Philadelphia's black Mayor, Michael Nutter, is cutting slightly into Obama's overwhelming edge among black voters, but clearly the split among black and white voters is growing," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

On favorability, she has a 10 point lead on Obama:

By a 71 - 23 percent margin, Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, compared to 61 - 19 percent for Obama, contributing to Clinton's lead in the primary.

On the economy and the war in Iraq:

The economy is the single most important issue in their Democratic primary vote, 48 percent of likely voters say, while 23 percent list the war in Iraq and 18 percent list health care. Voters who list the economy favor Clinton 55 - 40 percent, while voters who list the war are split, with 47 percent for Clinton and 46 percent for Obama.

Full post as published by TalkLeft on March 18, 2008 (boomark / email).