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: Calculated Risk

Chicago Fed: Economic Activity increased in May

By Anonymous

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Note: This is a composite index based on a number of economic releases.

From the Chicago Fed: Index shows economic activity continued to expand in May

The index?s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, rose to its highest level since March 2006, increasing to +0.28 in May from +0.05 in April. May?s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was above its historical trend. Moving above +0.20, the index?s three-month moving average in May also reached a level historically associated with a mature economic recovery following a recession.
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Click on table for larger image in new window.

This graph shows the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (three month moving average) since 1967. According to the Chicago Fed:

A zero value for the index indicates that the national economy is expanding at its historical trend rate of growth; negative values indicate below-average growth; and positive values indicate above-average growth.
This is the highest level in the index since March 2006, and indicates growth slightly above trend.

Full post as published by Calculated Risk on June 28, 2010 (boomark / email).

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