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Goldman Forecast: Unemployment to Peak in 2011

By Anonymous

James Pethokoukis at Reuters provides excerpts from the most recent Goldman Sachs forecast and writes about the political implications, but the economic implications are also significant. From Goldman:

The key features of our 2011 outlook: (1) a strengthening in growth from 2.1% on average in 2010 to 2.4% in 2011, with real GDP rising at an above-potential 3½% pace in late 2011; (2) a peaking in unemployment in mid-2011 at about 10¾%; (3) extremely low inflation ? close to zero on a core basis during 2011; and (4) a continuation of the Fed?s (near) zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) throughout 2011.

You read that right. 2011.

Full post as published by Calculated Risk on December 02, 2009 (boomark / email).