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Legal Commentary

: Prawfs

The Constitution in 2030

By Dan Markel, Ethan Leib, Rick Garnett, Matt Bodie, Paul Horwitz , Steve Vladeck, and Orly Lobel

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My contribution to the blog discussion of The Constitution in 2020 is up here, in advance of next week's conference, on which I'll be speaking on the individual rights panel along with Rick; I'll have another post in a few days specifically targeted to First Amendment questions raised by the book.  In this post, I focus on the project as a whole, asking whether it is interested in "merely" putting some version of progressive constitutionalism into practice on the courts, or whether it is interested in proposing some genuine new vision of constitutionalism; if it's the latter, I argue, 2020 is too early a date for this to be possible.  Here are some snippets:

There are revolutions, and then there are Revolutions. The big, capital-R type Revolutions are the major sea changes in the way we think and act or in our political structures, the moments in which some concept moves, seemingly overnight, from being unthinkable to being incontestable. Then there are revolutions, in something like the literal sense: the same old turning of the wheel, bringing the return of some set of ideas or political views to dominance, but with the certainty that its moment will inevitably pass, and return, and pass and return, and so on. These small-r revolutions are the stuff of our usual politics. They are one reason (the other may be summed up in a name: Keith Moon) why the Who?s ?Won?t Get Fooled Again? still sounds fresh.  ?Meet the new boss?.?

What do the authors of The Constitution in 2020 want: a revolution, or a Revolution? Are they interested in something genuinely new, a real paradigm shift in how we conceive of the Constitution? Or are they really just looking for a regime change, one that will bring them the results they want but that is destined to be merely temporary? . . . . [O]ne gets the sense that at least the editors of this collection would like to frame their project in more Revolutionary terms.

If that is actually the case. then I want to suggest that The Constitution in 2020 is the wrong title for the book. Small-r revolutions, mere turnovers in power, happen relatively frequently.  Big-R Revolutions are a different matter altogether. They do not happen often or overnight. Paradigm shifts, like rockslides, only appear to happen all of a sudden. In reality, they develop slowly before they happen quickly. . . . 

The Constitution in 2020 looks only a little more than a decade ahead. In that short time, we might see some small-r revolution on the federal courts. We might see the outs become the ins, and liberal rulings might replace conservative ones. But we are unlikely to see any Revolutions in so short a time. Science fiction in the 1950s looked a couple of decades ahead and imagined that we would soon be moving around with jetpacks and serving our robot overlords; by the 1970s, all that managed to happen was that we replaced our eight-tracks with cassette players. The same thing is likely to prove true if we try to imagine a genuinely Revolutionary movement in constitutional interpretation but place it just around the corner, temporally speaking. . . . 

If the editors and authors of The Constitution in 2020 want to encourage a real Revolution in constitutional law, . . . they will need to start by rethinking their title. On the other hand, if all they want is a revolution ? if all they really care about is the development of more or less the same old ways of thinking, but from a progressive rather than a conservative perspective; if they just want to be the ?new boss? for a while, with a corresponding change in outcomes ? then 2020 seems like a reasonable date to shoot for. That is time enough for the new guard to take over.  Unless we are just motivated by politics and a concern with outcomes in particular cases, though, that does not seem so terribly worthwhile a goal. It is certainly a short-sighted one: if all we are concerned about is a shift in who holds the reins of power, instead of a real shift in how we think about the Constitution, then the ?progressive? Constitution of 2020 will be replaced by a conservative Constitution in 2040, and so on. Instead of planning for a constitutional revolution in 2020, perhaps we might instead try to imagine what a real constitutional Revolution might look like ? in 2030. 


Full post as published by Prawfs on September 25, 2009 (boomark / email).

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