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Exit Polls -- Obama Up Huge in Wisconsin

By wt

Uh oh. Obama is winning women, 51 to 49. If that exit-poll data is accurate, this is about to be a beat down.

Here's Politico:

Democratic officials with access to exit polls say Sen. Obama looks like he?s headed for a huge win in today?s Wisconsin primary.

The polls could turn out to be off, as they have in the past. But the officials? revelation reflects the chatter in the campaigns in advance of the 9 p.m. Eastern poll closing.

The party officials said that if the trends reflect in the interviews with hundreds of Badger State voters, the news out of the primary will be: Obama encroached deeply into three of Clinton?s core groups of voters ? women, those with no college degree and those with lower incomes ? while giving up none of his own. However, Clinton looked to be winning senior citizens, the officials said.

Wow. CNN is mentioning that Wisconsin is Hillary's "no excuses" primary. Union, poor, and white. I'll add another factor--57% of Democratic voters were women.

If she can't win here, she's really not a great candidate. I guess she can say there are a lot of students and not very many Latinos, but your whole platform can't be "I win when there's a perfect storm of my most reliable supporters."

If Obama sweeps tonight, I think the path to Texas is clear. And thus, the nomination.

Full post as published by Expressio Unius on February 19, 2008 (boomark / email).