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A Marathon, Not a Sprint

By wt

A good roundup of the coming Democratic contest beyond Super Tuesday here.

The Obama campaign likes its chances for several reasons.

One is that contests so far have shown that the more time he has to campaign, the better he does against Mrs. Clinton.

The other is that the Obama campaign moves into the later contests with a financial cushion of $32 million he raised in January, triple the Clinton campaign?s January goal and enough for Mr. Obama to begin media advertising to supplement organizational efforts in those states. ?They just can?t match it,? says Steve Hildebrand, an Obama campaign strategist.

The Clinton campaign sees its own advantages on the long march.

One is the diminishing number of caucuses and ?open? primaries, which have been playing to Mr. Obama?s strengths in organizing and among independents.

Another is the big March 4 contests: Ohio, a prime venue for Mrs. Clinton?s economic message, and Texas, where her edge among Hispanics could be decisive.

In any case, notes Karen Hicks, a Clinton campaign strategist, ?This is going to be won by inches, not yards.?

Tomorrow will give us a lot of insight as to how much of a battle we have left; but I don't think it will solve much. As long as the two candidates split the vote roughly evenly (10 points or less) the delegate totals will stay roughly even.

Full post as published by Expressio Unius on February 04, 2008 (boomark / email).