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Electability

By Big Tent Democrat

Some new GE state polling from Ras:

WASHINGTON

Obama 51
McCain 40

Clinton 47
McCain 42

ARKANSAS

Obama 33
McCain 57

Clinton 53
McCain 39 [More...]

IOWA

Obama 44
McCain 42

Clinton 42
McCain 45

KANSAS

Obama 34
McCain 55

Clinton 39
McCain 55

ALASKA

Obama 41
McCain 50

MAINE

Obama 51
McCain 38

Clinton 51
McCain 38

Obama has strengths in the West that Clinton does not, but Kansas, for example, is not one of those states. Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada can be flipped by Obama from Red to Blue out West. I doubt Clinton can.

But Clinton has strengths Obama does not match in the East and other states. Arkansas is clearly one of them. West Virginia can also be flipped. And most importantly, Clinton has distinct advantages over Obama in Ohio and Florida for turning them Blue from Red.

These are competing electability arguments. Both are reasonable. More importantly, their competing strengths argue for a Unity Ticket imo.

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Full post as published by TalkLeft on May 16, 2008 (boomark / email).