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Every Member For Themselves

Congressional districts are a mix of semi-competitive and very safe geographic areas for their incumbents.

Flipping a seat is an incredibly tough job, both because of the demographics of a district and because of the incumbency advantage that may carry over to the next candidate in the same party.

And yet, Democrats have not just taken back the House since 2006, they've taken some VERY red districts in the last few months. Dennis Hastert's old seat, a seat in Lousiana, and now, the First District of Mississippi, where Bush won with 62% of the vote in 2004.

The Chairman of the NRCC had this to say:

I encourage all Republican candidates, whether incumbents or challengers, to take stock of their campaigns and position themselves for challenging campaigns this fall by building the financial resources and grassroots networks that offer them the opportunity and ability to communicate, energize and turn out voters this election.

By encouraging all GOP candidates to take stock of their campaigns, I think he's indicating that you should feel free to run against the Bush Administration, Iraq policy, and whatever it takes to win. In other words, consider yourself alone in your individual fight for your district.

I can't say I disagree with the strategy. But it certainly indicates the potential apocalypse for the GOP Congressional numbers in November.

Full post as published by Expressio Unius on May 14, 2008 (boomark / email).