Legal Commentary

New PA Poll: Hillary Ahead by 11 Points

By Jeralyn

A new PA poll by Muhlenberg College and the Morning Call show Hillary ahead by 11 points. Full poll results are here.

Key findings:

1. With the Pennsylvania Presidential Primary under three weeks away, Senator Hillary Clinton maintains a double digit lead over Senator Obama in the Democratic race.

2. Democratic voters in the Keystone State were most likely to rank the economy as the key issue in terms of their vote in the Democratic Primary, with the Iraq War and health care also prominently mentioned.

3. Pennsylvania Democrats have generally favorable views of both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. However, Obama receives a larger percentage of unfavorable ratings than Clinton among likely voters in the state.

4. Keystone State Democrats are evenly divided on which of their candidates is more likely to beat John McCain in the general election.

5. Democratic voters in the Commonwealth are more likely to want Hillary Clinton to choose Barack Obama as her running mate than they are to support Obama choosing Clinton as his Vice President.

6. A majority of Democratic voters in Pennsylvania do not believe Hillary Clinton should drop out of the race if she loses the Pennsylvania Primary.

More...

Media bias? The poll states:

Clinton’s lead in Pennsylvania is statistically equal to our last statewide poll in February, and provides evidence that the former First Lady remains the frontrunner in the Commonwealth’s April 22nd primary.

Check out the article in the Morning Call, co-sponsor of the poll, Second Poll Shows Clinton's Lead Shrinking. At least it acknowledges

The survey coincided with Obama's six-day swing through the state.

''After a barnstorming tour, all kinds of media attention throughout the state, plus his ad buy, you'd really start to see some questions raised if he wasn't having some traction in the polls,'' said Borick, director of Muhlenberg College's Institute of Public Opinion in Allentown.

On another poll note, Hillary's favorability rating is higher than Obama's.

Seven in 10 Democratic voters say they have a favorable impression of Obama, with only 3 percent not familiar enough with him to form an opinion. A quarter said they have an unfavorable impression.

Clinton gets better ratings. Seventy-seven percent view her favorably; 21 percent unfavorably.

Full post as published by TalkLeft on April 04, 2008 (boomark / email).